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Vigilant Asset Allocation

Conservative Risk
Research only
MC fragile

Keller VAA-G4 breadth momentum — top offensive ETFs or LQD defensive. Research-only (Aug 2026: block P5 Sharpe 0.42).

78
Diversification

Diversification

78

Volatility Profile

Low-Moderate

Horizon

3+ years

House Account Track Record

Forward performance on a separate virtual $1,000 research account since 8/26/2026. This is not your connected exchange account.

Research-only portfolio — follow the $1,000 demo house account below. Paper and live trading are not available.

Returns appear after 7 daily snapshots (1 of 7 so far).

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Account value

$1,003.40

As of Aug 26, 2026 UTC

Total return

Cumulative since activation

Today's return

Since midnight UTC

Tracking days

1 / 7

Performance chart unlocks after 7 daily snapshots so early rebalance pricing does not skew returns.

Illustrative Reference Ranges

Live market backtest unavailable. Showing educational ranges only — not live performance or a forecast.

Research-only portfolio — failed walk-forward validation or structurally weak path robustness. Demo track record only; paper and live trading are not available.

Expected Return

14–18%

annualized

Volatility

10–14%

annualized

Sharpe Ratio

1.1–1.2

risk-adjusted

Max Drawdown

-11% to -14%

historical reference

Trading Logic

End-of-day signals only — no day trading. See full trading logic documentation.

Rebalance Schedule

Monthly (1st business day)

Drift > 5%

Min Holding

0 days

Before discretionary sells

Trend Filter

None

Buy-and-hold weights

Risk Alerts

Defensive regime

VIX spike, DD halt — any business day

AI Rationale

Champion: VAA-G4 top-3, 13612W momentum vs cash, LQD defensive sleeve. Composite Sharpe 1.23, block P5 0.42.

Bull Case

Breadth crash protection may reduce drawdowns versus single-asset trend filters.

Bear Case

Often high cash/bond allocation; MC fragile on recent window.

Behavior During Downturns

Breadth threshold routes to LQD when offensive momentum fails.

Holdings

Template allocation using real ETF and stock tickers.

VEAVanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
33.33%
SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF
33.33%
VWOVanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
33.33%
Research only. Not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not indicate future results.