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Macro Pulse

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MC validated

Soros-inspired global macro sleeve. Rotates across macro-sensitive ETFs only when EUR/USD and bond-liquidity gates confirm a risk-on regime.

70
Diversification

Diversification

70

Volatility Profile

Moderate

Horizon

Weeks–months

Virtual Demo Track Record

Forward performance on our internal virtual $1,000 demo account since 8/2/2026. This is not customer capital and not your brokerage account.

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Account value

$1,012.07

As of Sep 21, 2026 UTC

Total return

Cumulative since activation

+1.21%

Today's return

Since midnight UTC

0.00%

Tracking days

46

Total Return History

Cumulative return since activation — the same metric as the Total Return card above. A rising line means recovery over time; it does not mean today's return is positive.

Macro Pulse

Hover a date for cumulative and that day's return. For today's move, see Today's Return in the summary.

Illustrative Reference Ranges

Live market backtest unavailable. Showing educational ranges only — not live performance or a forecast.

Expected Return

11–15%

annualized

Volatility

+5.8%–+7.8%

annualized

Net Sharpe

2.8

after paper fee + slippage

Max Drawdown

-1.3%

historical reference

Trading Logic

End-of-day signals only — no day trading. See full trading logic documentation.

Rebalance Schedule

Daily (business days)

Drift > 5%

Min Holding

0 days

Before discretionary sells

Trend Filter

MA stack 20>50>100 → SHY

Buy when MA stack aligned; exit to cash when broken

Risk Alerts

Defensive regime

VIX spike, DD halt — any business day

AI Rationale

Full-archive Tiingo (19.4y, 2007–2026): Sharpe 3.37, block P5 3.05, CAGR +43.5%, max DD −6.8% vs SPY 0.54 / +11.2% / −56.5%. Fill: Pulse engine books the day on names already held, then enters (honest same-clock). Live clock 12:30 ET; paper cost 15 bps one-way. Live book also applies EUR/USD and TLT gates.

Bull Case

Captures cross-asset trends with reflexivity-style regime confirmation. MC-validated path robustness with moderate drawdown (−7.0% hist).

Bear Case

Wide macro ETF universe increases estimation error; macro gates can miss fast rallies when EUR/USD and bonds disagree briefly.

Behavior During Downturns

Macro gates close → 100% SHY. Open positions exit on trail stops and stack breaks.

Holdings

Investable universe scanned daily for momentum alignment. Equal weight across active positions (up to 8).

SHYiShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
100%
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Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.