Defense + AI Regime
Autopilot analog: AI World War III Portfolio (`defense-ai-regime`). Defense primes and AI/cyber infrastructure with macro-regime tilting — more defense when dollar and rates liquidity weaken, more AI when risk-on.
Diversification
68
Volatility Profile
Moderate-High
Horizon
1–3 years
Live House Account
Forward performance on a virtual $1,000 autopilot account since 8/2/2026.
Account value
$1,022.15
As of Aug 7, 2026 UTC
Total return
Cumulative since activation
+2.21%
Today's return
Since midnight UTC
+0.33%
Tracking days
6
Total Return History
Cumulative return since activation — the same metric as the Total Return card above. A rising line means recovery over time; it does not mean today's return is positive.
Hover a date for cumulative and that day's return. For today's move, see Today's Return in the summary.
Illustrative Reference Ranges
Live market backtest unavailable. Showing educational ranges only — not live performance or a forecast.
Expected Return
54–58%
annualized
Volatility
18–22%
annualized
Sharpe Ratio
1.8–1.9
risk-adjusted
Max Drawdown
-20% to -22%
historical reference
Trading Logic
End-of-day signals only — no day trading. See full trading logic documentation.
Rebalance Schedule
Weekly (Mondays)
Drift > 5%
Min Holding
21 days
Before discretionary sells
Trend Filter
MA300 → SHY
Buy when MA stack aligned; exit to cash when broken
Risk Alerts
Defensive regime
VIX spike, DD halt — any business day
AI Rationale
Two sleeves (defense + AI/cyber) with weights shifted by macro-pulse EUR/USD + TLT gates. MA300 per-holding filter, 15% cap, weekly rebalance. Aug 2026 rescue: hist Sharpe 1.81, block P5 1.05 (MC validated).
Bull Case
Geopolitical + AI tailwinds with regime-aware rotation; rescue config passes block-bootstrap P5 gate.
Bear Case
Thematic concentration and wide drawdowns in risk-off selloffs. Past backtest results do not guarantee future results.
Behavior During Downturns
Macro gates tilt toward defense sleeve; MA200 exits redirect weak names to SHY.
Holdings
Defense + AI sleeves with macro-pulse regime tilting (EUR/USD + TLT gates). Current allocation: LMT 12.5%, RTX 12.5%, GD 12.5%, ITA 12.5%, NVDA 6.25% (+5 more), 12.5% SHY.