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Connors RSI(2)

Balanced Risk
MC income-validated

Short-term SPY mean reversion — buy shallow oversold dips in long uptrends, exit on SMA bounce. MC-validated Aug 2026.

45
Diversification

Diversification

45

Volatility Profile

Low

Horizon

1–3 years

Virtual Demo Track Record

Forward performance on our internal virtual $1,000 demo account since 8/26/2026. This is not customer capital and not your brokerage account.

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Account value

$958.89

As of Nov 7, 2026 UTC

Total return

Cumulative since activation

-4.11%

Today's return

Since midnight UTC

+0.31%

Tracking days

69

Total Return History

Cumulative return since activation — the same metric as the Total Return card above. A rising line means recovery over time; it does not mean today's return is positive.

Connors RSI(2)

Hover a date for cumulative and that day's return. For today's move, see Today's Return in the summary.

Illustrative Reference Ranges

Live market backtest unavailable. Showing educational ranges only — not live performance or a forecast.

Passes income dual gate (block P5 Sharpe ≥ 0.5) but not growth gate (≥ 0.9). Suitable for defensive sizing; not promoted for aggressive autopilot.

Expected Return

4–8%

annualized

Volatility

+11.7%–+13.7%

annualized

Net Sharpe

-1.2

after paper fee + slippage

Max Drawdown

-5.9%

historical reference

Trading Logic

End-of-day signals only — no day trading. See full trading logic documentation.

Rebalance Schedule

Daily (business days)

Drift > 5%

Min Holding

0 days

Before discretionary sells

Trend Filter

None

Buy-and-hold weights

Risk Alerts

Defensive regime

VIX spike, DD halt — any business day

AI Rationale

Champion (Aug 2026 fine sweep): SPY RSI(2)<6, SMA280 uptrend, dip below SMA5, exit above SMA5. Composite Sharpe 1.86, CAGR +9.4%, max DD −3.1%, block P5 Sharpe 1.18.

Bull Case

High win-rate dip buying with very shallow drawdowns when the long trend holds.

Bear Case

Mostly in cash; underperforms buy-and-hold in uninterrupted bull runs.

Behavior During Downturns

SMA280 trend filter keeps the strategy in cash during sustained bear markets.

Holdings

Template allocation using real ETF and stock tickers.

SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF
100%
Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.