United States Oil Fund (USO)
AI-powered research, scores, and analysis for USO
Price
$148.16
Daily Change
-3.68%
Market Cap
—
Volume
5.55M
Signal & Historical BUY Performance
HOLDCurrent model signal for USO. If you follow a BUY signal, the table below shows how past BUY signals for this stock performed in our walk-forward backtest.
No historical BUY signals in the backtest universe for USO.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Historical BUY signal stats reflect simulated walk-forward backtests over the past 4 years and do not constitute investment advice.
Research Score
USO Summary
High data confidence · Updated Sep 23, 2026
67
71
48
AI Summary
USO · Deterministic research
USO currently has moderate opportunity and moderate AI conviction. Risk remains high. Historical volatility is above typical levels.
Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Model 3.0.0 · Generated Sep 23, 2026, 4:58 PM
Bull Case
USO shows moderate opportunity signals in our research model. Supporting factor: Positive momentum signals near-term upside. Recent price momentum has been constructive relative to recent history.
Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Bear Case
USO carries elevated risk in our framework, which warrants careful scenario analysis. Key concern: ETF baseline risk applied. Model conviction is mixed, suggesting incomplete or conflicting underlying signals.
Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Key Risks
- ETF baseline risk applied
- Sharp decline increases short-term downside risk
- Elevated volatility may amplify short-term drawdowns.
Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.
What Changed
Scores are broadly stable since the prior research update with no material shifts across key dimensions.
Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Score Detail
Opportunity Score
Measures near-term upside potential based on momentum, quality, and valuation signals.
Helps you quickly identify assets with favorable risk-reward setups without reading dozens of charts and reports.
Current drivers
- Positive momentum signals near-term upside
- Technical indicators confirm bullish setup
Risk Score
Estimates downside exposure from volatility, liquidity, and asset-class risk factors. Higher means more risk.
Knowing risk before you act prevents surprises. A high-opportunity asset with high risk needs a different approach than a stable compounder.
Current drivers
- ETF baseline risk applied
- Sharp decline increases short-term downside risk
- Historical volatility is above typical levels
AI Conviction
Reflects how strongly our model agrees across all internal signals and how complete the underlying data is.
Not every score is equally reliable. Conviction tells you whether the model sees a clear picture or mixed, incomplete signals.
Current drivers
- High opportunity paired with elevated risk lowers conviction
- Data coverage is strong — model confidence is higher
- Mixed internal signals reduce model agreement