DiscoverUpdated 20h ago · yahoo-finance

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X (SOXL)

ETF

AI-powered research, scores, and analysis for SOXL

Price

$121.82

Daily Change

+5.23%

Market Cap

Volume

53.29M

Signal & Historical BUY Performance

HOLD

Current model signal for SOXL. If you follow a BUY signal, the table below shows how past BUY signals for this stock performed in our walk-forward backtest.

No historical BUY signals in the backtest universe for SOXL.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Historical BUY signal stats reflect simulated walk-forward backtests over the past 4 years and do not constitute investment advice.

55
Composite

Research Score

SOXL Summary

High data confidence · Updated Sep 12, 2026

Opportunity
Opportunity(Moderate)

56

Risk
Risk(High)

67

AI Conviction
AI Conviction(High)

84

AI Summary

SOXL · Deterministic research

SOXL currently has moderate opportunity and high AI conviction. Risk remains high. Historical volatility is above typical levels.

Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.

Model 3.0.0 · Generated Sep 12, 2026, 9:59 AM

Bull Case

SOXL shows moderate opportunity signals in our research model. Supporting factor: Momentum is neutral — opportunity depends on other factors.

Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.

Bear Case

SOXL carries moderate risk in our framework, which warrants careful scenario analysis. Key concern: ETF baseline risk applied.

Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.

Key Risks

  • ETF baseline risk applied
  • Strong upward move adds near-term reversion risk
  • Elevated volatility may amplify short-term drawdowns.

Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.

What Changed

Since the last score update: Opportunity increased by 6 points; Risk decreased by 4.4 points; AI Conviction increased by 13.5 points; Composite increased by 5.7 points.

Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.

Score Detail

56
Opportunity
Moderate
67
Risk
High
84
AI Conviction
High

Opportunity Score

Opportunity(Moderate)

Measures near-term upside potential based on momentum, quality, and valuation signals.

Why it matters

Helps you quickly identify assets with favorable risk-reward setups without reading dozens of charts and reports.

Current drivers

  • Momentum is neutral — opportunity depends on other factors

Risk Score

Risk(High)

Estimates downside exposure from volatility, liquidity, and asset-class risk factors. Higher means more risk.

Why it matters

Knowing risk before you act prevents surprises. A high-opportunity asset with high risk needs a different approach than a stable compounder.

Current drivers

  • ETF baseline risk applied
  • Strong upward move adds near-term reversion risk
  • Historical volatility is above typical levels

AI Conviction

AI Conviction(High)

Reflects how strongly our model agrees across all internal signals and how complete the underlying data is.

Why it matters

Not every score is equally reliable. Conviction tells you whether the model sees a clear picture or mixed, incomplete signals.

Current drivers

  • Risk-opportunity balance assessed for signal agreement
  • Data coverage is strong — model confidence is higher
  • Internal signals show strong cross-dimension agreement

About SOXL

ExchangeNYSE
RegionUS
CurrencyUSD