International Business Machines (IBM)
AI-powered research, scores, and analysis for IBM
Price
$237.28
Daily Change
+1.65%
Market Cap
—
Volume
4.76M
Signal & Historical BUY Performance
HOLDCurrent model signal for IBM. If you follow a BUY signal, the table below shows how past BUY signals for this stock performed in our walk-forward backtest.
Avg 22d return
+4.02%
Hit rate
71%
Positive forward returns
Sample size
48
Past BUY signals · backtest Jun 27, 2026
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Historical BUY signal stats reflect simulated walk-forward backtests over the past 4 years and do not constitute investment advice.
Research Score
IBM Summary
High data confidence · Updated Aug 8, 2026
44
70
62
AI Summary
IBM · Deterministic research
IBM currently has low opportunity and moderate AI conviction. Risk remains high. Historical volatility is above typical levels.
Research only. Not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Model 3.0.0 · Generated Aug 8, 2026, 12:18 PM
Bull Case
Supporting factor: Weak momentum limits near-term opportunity. Quality indicators suggest relatively durable fundamentals for this asset class.
Research only. Not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Bear Case
IBM carries moderate risk in our framework, which warrants careful scenario analysis. Key concern: STOCK baseline risk applied. Valuation signals appear stretched relative to historical norms in our model.
Research only. Not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Key Risks
- STOCK baseline risk applied
- Historical volatility is above typical levels
- Elevated volatility may amplify short-term drawdowns.
Research only. Not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not indicate future results.
What Changed
Since the last score update: AI Conviction increased by 10 points.
Research only. Not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Score Detail
Opportunity Score
Measures near-term upside potential based on momentum, quality, and valuation signals.
Helps you quickly identify assets with favorable risk-reward setups without reading dozens of charts and reports.
Current drivers
- Weak momentum limits near-term opportunity
- Valuation concerns cap upside potential
Risk Score
Estimates downside exposure from volatility, liquidity, and asset-class risk factors. Higher means more risk.
Knowing risk before you act prevents surprises. A high-opportunity asset with high risk needs a different approach than a stable compounder.
Current drivers
- STOCK baseline risk applied
- Historical volatility is above typical levels
AI Conviction
Reflects how strongly our model agrees across all internal signals and how complete the underlying data is.
Not every score is equally reliable. Conviction tells you whether the model sees a clear picture or mixed, incomplete signals.
Current drivers
- Risk-opportunity balance assessed for signal agreement
- Data coverage is strong — model confidence is higher