GEO Group (GEO)
AI-powered research, scores, and analysis for GEO
Price
$25.17
Daily Change
-8.57%
Market Cap
—
Volume
4.39M
Signal & Historical BUY Performance
SELLCurrent model signal for GEO. If you follow a BUY signal, the table below shows how past BUY signals for this stock performed in our walk-forward backtest.
No historical BUY signals in the backtest universe for GEO.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Historical BUY signal stats reflect simulated walk-forward backtests over the past 4 years and do not constitute investment advice.
Research Score
GEO Summary
High data confidence · Updated Nov 6, 2026
41
72
46
AI Summary
GEO · Deterministic research
GEO currently has low opportunity and moderate AI conviction. Risk remains high. Historical volatility is above typical levels.
Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Model 3.0.0 · Generated Nov 6, 2026, 7:29 PM
Bull Case
Supporting factor: Weak momentum limits near-term opportunity.
Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Bear Case
GEO carries elevated risk in our framework, which warrants careful scenario analysis. Key concern: STOCK baseline risk applied. Model conviction is mixed, suggesting incomplete or conflicting underlying signals.
Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Key Risks
- STOCK baseline risk applied
- Sharp decline increases short-term downside risk
- Elevated volatility may amplify short-term drawdowns.
Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.
What Changed
Since the last score update: Opportunity decreased by 9.6 points; Risk increased by 7.8 points; Composite decreased by 5.8 points.
Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Score Detail
Opportunity Score
Measures near-term upside potential based on momentum, quality, and valuation signals.
Helps you quickly identify assets with favorable risk-reward setups without reading dozens of charts and reports.
Current drivers
- Weak momentum limits near-term opportunity
- Technical indicators show weakness or overextension
- Relative valuation appears favorable
Risk Score
Estimates downside exposure from volatility, liquidity, and asset-class risk factors. Higher means more risk.
Knowing risk before you act prevents surprises. A high-opportunity asset with high risk needs a different approach than a stable compounder.
Current drivers
- STOCK baseline risk applied
- Sharp decline increases short-term downside risk
- Historical volatility is above typical levels
AI Conviction
Reflects how strongly our model agrees across all internal signals and how complete the underlying data is.
Not every score is equally reliable. Conviction tells you whether the model sees a clear picture or mixed, incomplete signals.
Current drivers
- Risk-opportunity balance assessed for signal agreement
- Data coverage is strong — model confidence is higher
- Mixed internal signals reduce model agreement