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DiscoverUpdated Yesterday · yahoo-finance

SPDR Dow Jones ETF (DIA)

ETF

AI-powered research, scores, and analysis for DIA

Price

$519.78

Daily Change

+0.76%

Market Cap

—

Volume

3.08M

Signal & Historical BUY Performance

HOLD

Current model signal for DIA. If you follow a BUY signal, the table below shows how past BUY signals for this stock performed in our walk-forward backtest.

No historical BUY signals in the backtest universe for DIA.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Historical BUY signal stats reflect simulated walk-forward backtests over the past 4 years and do not constitute investment advice.

48
Composite

Research Score

DIA Summary

High data confidence · Updated Sep 23, 2026

Opportunity
Opportunity(Low)

44

Risk
Risk(Low)

30

AI Conviction
AI Conviction(Moderate)

49

AI Summary

DIA · Deterministic research

DIA currently has low opportunity and moderate AI conviction. Risk profile is low relative to peers.

Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.

Model 3.0.0 · Generated Sep 23, 2026, 9:54 AM

Bull Case

Supporting factor: Momentum is neutral — opportunity depends on other factors.

Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.

Bear Case

Key concern: ETF baseline risk applied. Valuation signals appear stretched relative to historical norms in our model. Model conviction is mixed, suggesting incomplete or conflicting underlying signals.

Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.

Key Risks

  • ETF baseline risk applied
  • Historical volatility remains contained

Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.

What Changed

Scores are broadly stable since the prior research update with no material shifts across key dimensions.

Research software — not a fund or adviser. We do not take custody. Live orders stay in your brokerage. Not financial advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.

Score Detail

44
Opportunity
Low
30
Risk
Low
49
AI Conviction
Moderate

Opportunity Score

Opportunity(Low)

Measures near-term upside potential based on momentum, quality, and valuation signals.

Why it matters

Helps you quickly identify assets with favorable risk-reward setups without reading dozens of charts and reports.

Current drivers

  • Momentum is neutral — opportunity depends on other factors
  • Valuation concerns cap upside potential

Risk Score

Risk(Low)

Estimates downside exposure from volatility, liquidity, and asset-class risk factors. Higher means more risk.

Why it matters

Knowing risk before you act prevents surprises. A high-opportunity asset with high risk needs a different approach than a stable compounder.

Current drivers

  • ETF baseline risk applied
  • Historical volatility remains contained

AI Conviction

AI Conviction(Moderate)

Reflects how strongly our model agrees across all internal signals and how complete the underlying data is.

Why it matters

Not every score is equally reliable. Conviction tells you whether the model sees a clear picture or mixed, incomplete signals.

Current drivers

  • Risk-opportunity balance assessed for signal agreement
  • Data coverage is strong — model confidence is higher

About DIA

ExchangeNYSE
RegionUS
CurrencyUSD