All Portfolios

Golden Ratio

Balanced Risk
MC validated

Vasquez / Risk Parity Radio golden-ratio mix (VUG, VIOV, TLT, GLD, DBC, SHY) with max-Sharpe weights and MA trend filter. MC-validated Aug 2026 try-sweep.

12
Diversification

Diversification

12

Volatility Profile

10.4%

2.25-year backtest

Horizon

5+ years

Historical Performance

2.3-year daily MA150 → SHY trend filter at stated weights (Yahoo Finance, 4 holdings, as of 2026-08-25). Research only — not a forecast or live track record.

Annualized Return

+23.3%

2.25-year backtest

Volatility

10.4%

annualized

Sharpe Ratio

2.05

excess vs T-bills

Max Drawdown

-5.2%

backtested

Trading Logic

End-of-day signals only — no day trading. See full trading logic documentation.

Rebalance Schedule

Daily (business days)

Drift > 5%

Min Holding

0 days

Before discretionary sells

Trend Filter

MA150 → SHY

Buy when MA stack aligned; exit to cash when broken

Risk Alerts

Defensive regime

VIX spike, DD halt — any business day

AI Rationale

Champion (lazy try-sweep Aug 2026): Golden Ratio universe, MA150, 2.25y lookback, 25% cap, daily. Composite Sharpe 2.19, CAGR +31.3%, max DD −10.8%, block P5 Sharpe 1.29.

Bull Case

Growth + small-cap value plus gold/commodities may capture prosperity while the Treasury sleeve cushions deflation.

Bear Case

Six-asset optimizer can concentrate in VUG during tech-led regimes. Commodity sleeve (DBC) can drag in disinflation.

Behavior During Downturns

MA150 per-sleeve exits route weak assets to SHY; long Treasuries and gold provide the defensive core.

Holdings

Template asset universe with weights optimized for maximum risk-adjusted return using historical excess returns vs T-bills.

VUGVanguard Growth ETF
25%
VIOVVanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF
25%
GLDSPDR Gold Shares
25%
DBCInvesco DB Commodity Index ETF
24.99%
Find your match
Research only. Not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not indicate future results.